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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4096532

Over $30M committed to the Ethos public sale?

20.6% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 41.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.3%, up 18.4pt over 24h, on a 40.7¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 41.0¢ / 20.6¢
Spread40.7¢ (197.1%)
Change 24h+18.45pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$461
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 88 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.53
RSI (14, hourly)88.4
Realized vol 7d6.48pt
Change 1h-2.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 11h.

Time to resolve4d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth