← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4117193
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,522
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,171 / $2,216
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.74
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 56d 5h.
Time to resolve56d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%