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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

7.0% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

The market prices this at 4.0%, down 13.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability4.0%

Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (28.6%)

Change 24h-13.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,967

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24 / $15

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score40.0 / 100

RSI 19 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.45

RSI (14, hourly)19.0

Realized vol 7d4.87pt

Change 1h+1.50pt

Resolves in 10d 5h.

Time to resolve10d 5h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%