← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4117967
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?
20.5% implied · bid 20.0¢ · ask 21.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid20.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 20.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,792
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$184 / $165
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 3 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.55
RSI (14, hourly)2.9
Realized vol 7d6.55pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 5h.
Time to resolve25d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%