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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4118888

Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?

84.0% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 87.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 86.0%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 84.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (7.1%)
Change 24h-6.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 21/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 63% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,134
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$166 / $978
Imbalance63% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.25
RSI (14, hourly)38.1
Realized vol 7d3.47pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 20d 6h.

Time to resolve20d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth