← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4118937

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?

37.0% implied · bid 36.0¢ · ask 38.0¢

The market prices this at 37.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability37.0%

Bid / ask / mid36.0¢ / 38.0¢ / 37.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (5.4%)

Change 24h+5.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 73% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$375

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$78 / $35

Imbalance73% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.1 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.56

RSI (14, hourly)60.0

Realized vol 7d5.53pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 57d 6h.

Time to resolve57d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%