← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4118938

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

40.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 44.0¢

The market prices this at 41.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability41.0%

Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 40.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (17.3%)

Change 24h+2.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 38% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$164

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$123 / $24

Imbalance38% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.1 / 100

RSI 27 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.02

RSI (14, hourly)26.7

Realized vol 7d3.22pt

Change 1h-1.50pt

Resolves in 87d 6h.

Time to resolve87d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%