← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4144688
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12PM ET
97.0% implied · bid 96.0¢ · ask 98.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 94.0%, up 46.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid96.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 97.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+46.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 67% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$6,478
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$712 / $1,597
Imbalance67% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 97 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 6.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean6.40
RSI (14, hourly)97.0
Realized vol 7d6.72pt
Change 1h+45.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%