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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4144713

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 9?

99.3% implied · bid 99.0¢ · ask 99.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.3%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability99.3%
Bid / ask / mid99.0¢ / 99.5¢ / 99.3¢
Spread0.5¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 64% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,104 / $8,312
Imbalance64% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.36
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d7.95pt
Change 1h-0.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 23h.

Time to resolve4d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth