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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4144715

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 9?

98.8% implied · bid 98.5¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.9%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability98.9%
Bid / ask / mid98.5¢ / 99.0¢ / 98.8¢
Spread0.5¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 74/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 35% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$611
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,302 / $40,442
Imbalance35% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score73.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.37
RSI (14, hourly)53.0
Realized vol 7d7.63pt
Change 1h-0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 23h.

Time to resolve4d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth