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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4144719

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?

97.2% implied · bid 96.5¢ · ask 97.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 97.8%, up 0.7pt over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.

Implied probability97.8%
Bid / ask / mid96.5¢ / 97.8¢ / 97.2¢
Spread1.3¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+0.70pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 71/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$676
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,261 / $47,430
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score70.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.67
RSI (14, hourly)52.3
Realized vol 7d10.16pt
Change 1h+0.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 22h.

Time to resolve4d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth