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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?

5.3% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 5.5¢

The market prices this at 5.5%, up 4.3pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability5.5%

Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 5.5¢ / 5.3¢

Spread0.5¢ (9.5%)

Change 24h+4.25pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,576

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$152 / $498

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.8 / 100

RSI 91 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.01

RSI (14, hourly)91.3

Realized vol 7d3.88pt

Change 1h+1.35pt

Resolves in 5d 5h.

Time to resolve5d 5h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%