← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4170753

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

17.0% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

The market prices this at 19.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability19.0%

Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (11.8%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$135

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$109 / $123

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.1 / 100

RSI 84 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.77

RSI (14, hourly)83.9

Realized vol 7d1.73pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 96d 7h.

Time to resolve96d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%