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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4170755

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$41
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$82 / $105
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d1.85pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 96d 7h.

Time to resolve96d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth