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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4170757

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

28.0% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 29.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 29.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability29.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 28.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (7.1%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$8,832
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$222 / $308
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score40.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.30
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d2.90pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 96d 7h.

Time to resolve96d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth