← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4170757
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
28.0% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 29.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability29.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 28.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (7.1%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,832
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$222 / $308
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.30
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d2.90pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 96d 7h.
Time to resolve96d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%