← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4170760

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)

Change 24h+4.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$144

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$186 / $88

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.1 / 100

RSI 74 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.67

RSI (14, hourly)73.7

Realized vol 7d2.68pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 96d 7h.

Time to resolve96d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%