← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4174612
Trump out as President by September 30?
1.6% implied · bid 1.4¢ · ask 1.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.8%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability1.8%
Bid / ask / mid1.4¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.6¢
Spread0.4¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$47,740
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,488 / $1,571
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score49.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.54
RSI (14, hourly)60.7
Realized vol 7d0.23pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 10h.
Time to resolve26d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%