← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4176079
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez
61.5% implied · bid 61.0¢ · ask 62.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 63.0%, down 14.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid61.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 61.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-14.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$393,412
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,588 / $5,241
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)24
Liquidity score48.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 6 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-6.54
RSI (14, hourly)6.3
Realized vol 7d1.98pt
Change 1h-14.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%