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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4176606

Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs Fernandez

93.5% implied · bid 92.0¢ · ask 95.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 92.0%, up 6.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability92.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 93.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+6.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 38/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 43% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,190
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,309 / $5,328
Imbalance43% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 64 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.63
RSI (14, hourly)63.6
Realized vol 7d4.36pt
Change 1h+6.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth