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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4176622

Game Spread: Cirstea (-2.5) vs Paolini (+2.5)

100.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 52.0%, up 46.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+46.45pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,937
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,334 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 91 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.26
RSI (14, hourly)91.1
Realized vol 7d8.68pt
Change 1h+48.45pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth