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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4176653

Pegula vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 23.5

69.0% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 84.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 69.0%, up 32.5pt over 24h, on a 30.0¢ spread.

Implied probability69.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 69.0¢
Spread30.0¢ (43.5%)
Change 24h+32.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 96 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.55
RSI (14, hourly)95.8
Realized vol 7d6.16pt
Change 1h+32.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth