← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4177253
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 91.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid91.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 91.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$54,517 / $106,081
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.44
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 67d 3h.
Time to resolve67d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.