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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4177796

Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Rinderknech

64.0% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 66.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 65.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 64.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$122
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,835 / $7,892
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.05
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d2.12pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth