← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4177796
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Rinderknech
64.0% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 66.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 64.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$122
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,835 / $7,892
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.05
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d2.12pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%