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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4177811

Set 3 Winner: Medvedev vs Rinderknech

63.0% implied · bid 59.0¢ · ask 67.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 63.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid59.0¢ / 67.0¢ / 63.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (12.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 56% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $33
Imbalance56% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 43 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.48
RSI (14, hourly)43.5
Realized vol 7d5.65pt
Change 1h-1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth