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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4177823

Michelsen vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 36.5

61.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 63.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 63.0%, up 7.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 63.0¢ / 61.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+7.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 58% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$2,078
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5 / $355
Imbalance58% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score35.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.84
RSI (14, hourly)79.2
Realized vol 7d1.15pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth