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Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3?

80.5% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 95.0¢

The market prices this at 95.0%, up 33.5pt over 24h, on a 29.0¢ spread.

Implied probability95.0%

Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 80.5¢

Spread29.0¢ (36.0%)

Change 24h+33.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,749

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.31

RSI (14, hourly)63.1

Realized vol 7d11.46pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%