← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4178247

Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?

51.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 86.0¢

The market prices this at 51.5%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 69.0¢ spread.

Implied probability51.5%

Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 51.5¢

Spread69.0¢ (134.0%)

Change 24h+3.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance18% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 9 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.41

RSI (14, hourly)9.1

Realized vol 7d3.71pt

Change 1h+1.50pt

Resolves in 1d 7h.

Time to resolve1d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%