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Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?

50.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 93.0¢

The market prices this at 50.5%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 85.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.5%

Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 50.5¢

Spread85.0¢ (168.3%)

Change 24h+1.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.81

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d1.14pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 5d 7h.

Time to resolve5d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%