← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4178411

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

45.5% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 48.0¢

The market prices this at 34.0%, up 29.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability34.0%

Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 45.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (11.0%)

Change 24h+29.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 37% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,767

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$55 / $15

Imbalance37% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score25.0 / 100

RSI 98 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.03

RSI (14, hourly)98.2

Realized vol 7d3.74pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 56d 5h.

Time to resolve56d 5h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%