← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4178412
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
82.5% implied · bid 82.0¢ · ask 83.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 82.5%, up 23.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability82.5%
Bid / ask / mid82.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 82.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+23.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 56% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,075 / $983
Imbalance56% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 94 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.69
RSI (14, hourly)94.3
Realized vol 7d3.18pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 5h.
Time to resolve117d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%