← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4178413
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?
95.0% implied · bid 94.0¢ · ask 96.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.1%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability95.1%
Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 95.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-0.80pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,520
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$283 / $7,135
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.58
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d3.72pt
Change 1h-0.30pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4d 5h.
Time to resolve4d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%