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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4181418

Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Alexandrova

97.1% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 97.1%, up 33.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability97.1%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 97.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+33.45pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,598
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 96 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.70
RSI (14, hourly)95.8
Realized vol 7d5.86pt
Change 1h+32.45pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.