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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4182432

US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone

52.5% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 53.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 53.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 52.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 36% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$186,282
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$88,277 / $134,016
Imbalance36% bid
Large trades (>$1k)10
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.41
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.76pt
Change 1h+2.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth