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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4182436

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

36.5% implied · bid 36.0¢ · ask 37.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 38.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability38.0%
Bid / ask / mid36.0¢ / 37.0¢ / 36.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$839,750
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$73,266 / $179,630
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)32
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.18
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.65pt
Change 1h-3.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth