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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4182834

Game Spread: Alcaraz (-6.5) vs Wu (+6.5)

60.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 61.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 61.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,109
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,244 / $17,601
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score55.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.84
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.96pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth