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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4182837

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)

82.0% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 83.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 82.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability82.0%
Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 82.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,707
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,574 / $30,485
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score57.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.51
RSI (14, hourly)80.0
Realized vol 7d4.83pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth