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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4182854

Bublik vs. Paul: Match O/U 38.5

55.5% implied · bid 53.0¢ · ask 58.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 58.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 55.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (9.0%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,745
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$42 / $296
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.73
RSI (14, hourly)52.6
Realized vol 7d1.07pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth