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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4182863

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)

55.5% implied · bid 55.0¢ · ask 56.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 56.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability56.0%
Bid / ask / mid55.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 55.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 77/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,254
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,164 / $58,219
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score77.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 78 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.62
RSI (14, hourly)77.8
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth