← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4187267

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?

6.1% implied · bid 5.5¢ · ask 6.7¢

The market prices this at 7.5%, down 44.4pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability7.5%

Bid / ask / mid5.5¢ / 6.7¢ / 6.1¢

Spread1.2¢ (19.7%)

Change 24h-44.40pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$74,655

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$281 / $183

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.2 / 100

RSI 23 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.38

RSI (14, hourly)22.6

Realized vol 7d10.07pt

Change 1h+1.60pt

Resolves in 0d 2h.

Time to resolve0d 2h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%