← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4189084

Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?

64.5% implied · bid 63.0¢ · ask 66.0¢

The market prices this at 68.0%, down 10.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability68.0%

Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 64.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h-10.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,627

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$214 / $620

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.4 / 100

RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.91

RSI (14, hourly)47.8

Realized vol 7d8.64pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 9d 5h.

Time to resolve9d 5h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%