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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4189085

Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?

3.2% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 5.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 5.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 5.8¢ / 3.2¢
Spread5.2¢ (162.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 24/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$105
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9 / $13
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score24.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.83
RSI (14, hourly)57.7
Realized vol 7d5.60pt
Change 1h+0.30pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 5h.

Time to resolve9d 5h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth