← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4189086

Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?

2.2% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 3.9¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 3.4¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 3.9¢ / 2.2¢

Spread3.4¢ (154.5%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 33/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$104

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $18

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score33.0 / 100

RSI 61 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.77

RSI (14, hourly)61.2

Realized vol 7d4.83pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 9d 5h.

Time to resolve9d 5h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%