← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4189088

Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?

32.5% implied · bid 32.0¢ · ask 33.0¢

The market prices this at 31.0%, up 9.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability31.0%

Bid / ask / mid32.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 32.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.1%)

Change 24h+9.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,959

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$60 / $290

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.2 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.34

RSI (14, hourly)46.7

Realized vol 7d8.69pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 9d 5h.

Time to resolve9d 5h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%