← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4189089
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?
57.5% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 59.0¢
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The market prices this at 58.0%, up 14.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 59.0¢ / 57.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (5.2%)
Change 24h+14.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,400
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$192 / $204
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.94
RSI (14, hourly)61.5
Realized vol 7d10.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 16d 5h.
Time to resolve16d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%