← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4189090

Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?

3.7% implied · bid 1.5¢ · ask 5.9¢

The market prices this at 5.9%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 4.4¢ spread.

Implied probability5.9%

Bid / ask / mid1.5¢ / 5.9¢ / 3.7¢

Spread4.4¢ (118.9%)

Change 24h-0.85pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 28/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$25

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$25 / $5

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score28.0 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.55

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d3.37pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 16d 5h.

Time to resolve16d 5h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%