← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4189091

Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?

4.0% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 7.6¢

The market prices this at 0.2%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 7.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 7.6¢ / 4.0¢

Spread7.3¢ (184.8%)

Change 24h-1.10pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 14/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$81

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $4

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score13.5 / 100

RSI 59 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.46

RSI (14, hourly)58.8

Realized vol 7d1.19pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 16d 5h.

Time to resolve16d 5h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%