← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4189093

Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?

31.5% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 34.0¢

The market prices this at 33.0%, down 20.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability33.0%

Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 31.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (15.9%)

Change 24h-20.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,586

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$38 / $149

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.1 / 100

RSI 12 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.41

RSI (14, hourly)11.5

Realized vol 7d7.96pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 16d 5h.

Time to resolve16d 5h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%