← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4190735

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?

65.5% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 66.0¢

The market prices this at 66.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability66.0%

Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 65.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12,800

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,230 / $6,935

Imbalance21% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score52.6 / 100

RSI 97 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.42

RSI (14, hourly)97.1

Realized vol 7d3.52pt

Change 1h+17.00pt

Resolves in 0d 23h.

Time to resolve0d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%