← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4190737

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?

47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢

The market prices this at 48.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability48.0%

Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,383

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,106 / $2,559

Imbalance10% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.8 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.25

RSI (14, hourly)40.0

Realized vol 7d1.65pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 2d 23h.

Time to resolve2d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%