← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4190738

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?

25.5% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 26.0¢

The market prices this at 26.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability26.0%

Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 25.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.9%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,943

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$399 / $1,197

Imbalance8% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.8 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.04

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d2.91pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 23h.

Time to resolve2d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%